Welcome: Good morning. This storm has certainly been underachieving, a sad loss for some of us hoping for lots of snow. What happened are two things that caused more rain than expected. First is that last night warmer winds came into the region creating a tiny column of air above freezing that melted the snow right as it got to the ground. For some, overnight temperatures did not drop below freezing, this was not expected.

Next, this storm was looking like it was going to be more organized, but it is not organized. The reason the organization matters is that it effects how heavy the precipitation falls and the heavier the precipitation the more cooling in the air. So, because it was less organized we got lighter precipitation and less cooling from it.

These storms are hard to forecast, and I apologize to you all who were expecting a big storm, and who are disappointed on what has come into fruition. The positive is that the eastern parts of the Berkshires and Bennington County are seeing lots of snow. Also most of us should rap up the storm with light to moderate snow accumulations tonight. Here are the details…

Alert: A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for the Berkshires and Bennington County until 10:00 AM tomorrow.

Timing: Currently you may be seeing rain, a rain/snow mix, or snow. Whatever you are seeing should continue until this evening. Then if temperatures do drop below freezing tonight, as they are expected to do, we will all see a transition to snow. The snow should continue through tomorrow morning and be done by tomorrow afternoon.

Snow: Widespread snow is likely. For Bennington County I expect 6-12 inches of wet snow in total, with lower amounts right around Bennington and higher amounts near the mountains.

For the Eastern part of Berkshire County (east of Pittsfield) I expect 8-14 inches of wet snow in total, with higher amounts at high elevations. For the Western part of Berkshire County (Pittsfield and west) I expect 4-10 inches of wet snow in total. Lesser amounts can be expected for areas near Williamstown and areas near Sheffield. Higher amounts can be expected near the mountains.

Sleet: Not expected.

Freezing Rain: Not expected.

Rain: Widespread rain is likely. A few spots may reach near one inch of rain in total.

Thunder: Not expected.

Peak Wind: 5 to 25 mph, with gusts to 40 mph. Coming from the East.

Blowing/Drifting Snow: Not expected.

Snow Day Calculator: N/A

Hazards Summary: Some roads will dangerous to drive on. Isolated tree damage and power outages are possible where high snowfall amounts occur. Snow fall rates could be heavy at times tonight. Be prepared for multiple changeovers to snow during the day, but then changeovers going back to rain.

Anything Else: I hope you all stay safe. Please comment and like. Thank you. Have an amazing day. I hope all goes your way. So let today be your very best day. Cheers everyone!

3 thoughts on “Friday/December/16/2022

  1. I am a big fan of Winter snow whoppers too. My brother Peter and his wife Lis live at 1700ft outside of Colrain and they already have 6 inches. Only some wet slush in Pittsfield. It’s gonna be an elevation snow!
    I enjoy your winter weather forecast Jacob!

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Here in Cheshire the snow started around 7 a.m. and has continued unabated. So far, this storm is not underachieving even though temps were above freezing all night and throughout the day so far. So, I’m not sure what weird corridor of the storm we’re in, but it’s still coming down as snow. Thank you for your detailed analysis of why the storm is behaving as it is. That is why I subscribed to your site in the first place, so keep it coming!!

    Liked by 1 person

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