Welcome: Good afternoon to you all.
Today: Mostly sunny.
Temperature: Highs in the mid 80s. Lows in the lower to mid 60s.
Wind: 5 to 10 mph.
Precipitation: Patchy fog in the morning.
Air Quality: Good.
Tomorrow: Sunny.
Temperature: Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the upper 60s.
Wind: 5 mph.
Precipitation: Patchy fog in the morning.
Air Quality: Moderate.
Day 3: Mostly sunny.
Temperature: Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the upper 60s.
Wind: 5 mph.
Precipitation: None.
Next Week’s Forecast: Nothing major expected at the moment.
Temperature: Slightly above average.
Precipitation: Slightly above average.
Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.
1. A broad trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. It is 900 miles northeast of the Leeward Islands. I give it a medium chance of development.
2. A tropical wave will turn into a broad area of low pressure. It is in the eastern Caribbean. I give it a medium chance of development.
3. A tropical wave is producing a small area of showers and thunderstorms. It is south of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a small chance of development.
Hazards Summary: None.
Notable Amounts: The total I got from Henri is 3.26 inches of rainfall.
Anything to Mention: Have an amazing day.
Monday/August/23/2021
Welcome: Good evening folks. Henri surprised many of us. It went farther south and west than expected. You never know with tropical systems if they will impact you. You can only prepare and hope they do not hit.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy.
Temperature: Lows in the mid 60s.
Wind: 5 mph.
Precipitation: Rain turning to showers.
Air Quality: Amazing air.
Tomorrow: Mostly Sunny.
Temperature: Highs in the mid 80s. Lows in the 60s.
Wind: 5 mph.
Precipitation: None.
Air Quality: Amazing air.
Wednesday: Sunny.
Temperature: Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid 60s.
Wind: 5 mph.
Precipitation: None.
Next Week’s Forecast: Nothing major expected at the moment.
Temperature: Slightly above average.
Precipitation: Slightly above average.
Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.
1. A broad area of low pressure has disorganized showers and thunderstorms. It is west of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a medium chance of development.
2. A tropical wave is expected to turn into a broad area of low pressure. It is in the eastern Caribbean. I give it a medium chance of development.
3. A low pressure area is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. It is southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a medium chance of development.
Hazards Summary: Some river flooding.
Notable Amounts: So far from Henri I received 3.25 inches of rain. The final amount of rainfall will be available tomorrow as Henri fully clears the region tonight.
Anything to Mention: Have an amazing night.
Sunday/August/22/2021
Welcome: Good morning, today will be a special report on Tropical Storm Henri.
Alerts: We have flood watches up until 8:00 pm Monday. We have a tropical cyclone statement describing what is coming. I still see it possible that the National Weather Service issues a tropical storm watch or warning for us.
Track: The track has moved east. We must monitor because the more it moves west before landfall the more wind we will see here. Right now it is predicted that we will be on the west side of the storm and get more rain than wind.
Strength: The strength of it when it hits us would likely be tropical storm or tropical depression.
Timing: Sunday and Monday, 3 very heavy rain bands. One this afternoon, one tonight and another tomorrow.
Wind: The wind threat has decreased. The National Hurricane Center puts us in a 39 mph to 57 mph that is possible. If the storm has a westward track and makes landfall in Long Island we will see greater winds compared to it making landfall in Rhode Island. It also depends on what speed it is going at. The faster the storm the more it can hold itself together.
Rain: This is the primary threat. The amount of rain we our predicted to get is so great that a simple wind gust may make tree fall. There is a widespread 2 to 6 inches but a scattered 6 to 10 inches and an isolated 10+ inches possible. Roads will flood, make evacuation routes as a precaution. If you live in an easily flooded area move to high ground.
Storm Surge: No sea storm surge but rivers may overflow.
Tornado: Little to no threat.
Anything Else: Power outages are likely and may even be long term, be prepared. Stay safe and have a good day.
Saturday/August/21/2021
Welcome: Good morning, today will be a special report on Tropical Storm Henri.
Alert Report: We have tropical storm warnings up for Northern Connecticut. In the weather forecast discussion that the National Weather Service has for our area they mentioned that tropical storm warnings may be needed for Berkshire County. Also Berkshire County has a flood watch right now.
Track: Now the track of the storm is important. It may go from slightly east of Berkshire County to slightly west of Berkshire County. If we are on the east side the wind, rain, and tornado threat increases a lot.
Strength: We are not likely to see a hurricane here. You may experience hurricane gust only if you are in the southernmost parts of Berkshire County. The storm will be weakening rapidly so we will likely see either a tropical depression, tropical storm or on the high end a strong tropical storm. Right now most likely will be a tropical storm.
Timing: Sunday and Monday. But the worst will be Sunday night.
Wind: We have a threat of wind. The farther south you live in the Berkshires means the greater the chance of having dangerous winds. The National Hurricane Center has winds of 58 to 73 mph possible. If the storm can hold itself together that will be likely. So expect scattered to widespread power outages. Expect scattered trees falling.
Rain: The threat has decreased here slightly however there will be enough rain to cause power outages and trees fall. Plan evacuation routes just in case. The amounts will be a widespread 2 to 6 inches. I am sure a few spots will pick up over 6 inches. Rain rates will be 1 to 2 inches per hour, combined with wind that is a lot of damage.
Storm Surge: Some large rivers will likely over flow their banks.
Tornado: With all tropical systems if you are on their east side some spin ups may occur. They look to be isolated at this time.
Anything Else: Stay safe, prepare and have a good day.
Friday/August/20/2021/5:00 PM Update
This update will concern Tropical Storm Henri.
Henri is near hurricane strength with max sustained winds of 70 mph. Now I do not wish to scare anyone but there will be a band of very heavy rain. The rain amounts seem to be a widespread 4 to 6 inches through all of Berkshire County. This will start Sunday morning and last to Monday afternoon of evening. However the heaviest rain should come Sunday evening and night. There is a small swath in the central to south eastern portions of the Berkshire’s, which holds 6 to 10 inches of rain. Be prepared for flooding and plan evacuation routes if needed.
Tornados will not be a threat. The wind threat is uncertain. Anywhere from below tropical storm force to nearing hurricane force winds. If this storm gets a little faster and moves west either over the Berkshire’s or west of the Berkshire’s we could be dealing with a big storm. It all depends on the track and strength of Henri. But it is always better to be safe than sorry.
I may post again later tonight if anything changes. It is ironic that 10 years ago on August 29th Hurricane Irene hit Berkshire County and Southern Vermont very bad with flooding rains. It may happen again this year. Be safe. Have a good night.
Friday/August/20/2021
Welcome: Good morning folks. Read the tropical forecast on Henri because that will be the long term player.
Forecast: Today is mostly cloudy with some drizzle. It will be in the upper 70s to low 80s. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. It is a humid day.
Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy in the mid 80s and humid. Some showers and thunderstorms possible. Lows in the mid 60s.
Then on Sunday it will be mostly cloudy with showers. Highs in the low 80s. Henri will be approaching. Lows in the lower 60s.
Next Week’s Forecast: Next week we will have Henri at the beginning of the week and then we will have cloudy conditions.
Precipitation Forecast: 40% chance of rain today and tomorrow.
Wind Forecast: 5 to 10 mph turning gusty as Henri approaches.
Air Quality Forecast: Great air.
Heat Index Forecast: Really hot and humid out there, remember to drink water.
UV and Light Forecast: Mostly clouds so do not worry about the sun.
Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.
1. Tropical Storm Henri. We are in the cone of Henri. Winds here will likely be of tropical storm force or even strong tropical storm force. At the moment it does not look like we will see hurricane force wind because it will still be to our east and it will be slow. Henri will be over cool waters so it will weaken, but because it will move so slow it will weaken even more. However Henri’s intensity will still be a strong tropical storm so if it moves to the west a little and moves slightly faster I would not be surprised to see hurricane watches. This evening I predict we will see tropical storm watches. Do not take tropical storms as a joke. A tropical storm can still do lots of damage. Be prepared and most of all be safe. The storm will approach Sunday so get ready today and tomorrow.
2. A tropical wave near the Cabo Verde Islands will try to merge with another tropical wave. I give it a small chance of development while it moves west.
3. Hurricane Grace will soon make landfall in Mexico.
Hazards Summary: Henri will be here on Sunday.
Notable Amounts: In all I received 1.23 inches of rain from Fred.
Anything to Mention: Have an amazing day.
Thursday/August/19/2021
Welcome: Good morning, we have a lot to discuss today.
Forecast: Today showers are likely. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Tonight will have lows in the lower to mid 60s.
Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy to partly sunny with highs in the lower 80s. Lows will be in the mid 60s.
Then on Saturday we can expect partly sunny conditions with scattered showers. It will be in the lower to mid 80s. Lows will be in the mid 60s.
Next Week Forecast: Next week we will be watching the tropics, though I already know it will be humid and rainy.
Precipitation Forecast: We have a 70% chance of showers today and a 20% chance of showers tomorrow morning.
Wind Forecast: 5 to 10 mph.
Air Quality Forecast: Amazing air.
Heat Index Forecast: Today and tomorrow will be humid, you will sweat a lot.
UV and Light Forecast: Many clouds so you do not need to worry about the sun.
Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.
1. The Tropical Remnants of Fred have been passing to our north and east. Showers are still likely but will be less heavy. Isolated tornadoes are possible today until the mid afternoon. Be aware that a quick spin up may form with or without it raining.
2. Tropical Storm Henri is the next threat. Berkshire County has been moved out of the cone. However the National Hurricane Center still gives our area a 20 to 30% chance of tropical storm force winds. It also gives our area a 5% chance of strong tropical storm winds. However hurricane conditions are not out of the question. We will need to monitor Henri, a high pressure area, and a low pressure area. These three air masses will interact and decide where Henri goes.
3. Tropical Storm Grace has made landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula. It will restrengthen into a hurricane when it leaves the Yucatan and heads towards Central Mexico.
Hazards Summary: Isolated tornados today.
Notable Amounts: So far I have received 0.65 of an inch of rain from Fred.
Anything to Mention: Have a great day and be safe.
Wednesday/August/18/2021
Today is a later post because I have been monitoring the Tropical Remnants of Fred and Tropical Storm Henri and how they will impact us.
Forecast: Tonight will be cloudy in the upper 60s. Heavy rain likely north of the pike and showers likely south of the pike.
Tomorrow will be rainy with some heavier showers. It will be in the upper 70s.
Then on Friday we can expect mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Air quality forecast: Great air today and tomorrow.
Tropical: We have three areas to watch.
1. The Tropical Remnants of Fred will impact our region tonight through tomorrow night. The main threat will be heavy rain with localized flash flooding. Winds could gust to 30 mph at times and an isolated tornado can not be ruled out.
2. Hurricane Grace is heading to the Yucatan Peninsula around Mexico and once it passes it will continue through Mexico possibly into the Pacific Ocean.
3. Tropical Storm Henri will become a hurricane. I do not want to panic anyone but there is a possibility the storm may directly impact us as a hurricane. The National Hurricane Center has put Berkshire County in the cone for Tropical Storm Henri. Impacts, timing, and intensity are still uncertain. However a more westward track can be seen in model runs today compared to yesterday. Be prepared for a hurricane but do not panic, it is called the cone of uncertainty for a reason.
Precipitation: Tonight through tomorrow will bring 1 to 2 inches of rain. Isolated amounts of 3 inches are possible the farther north in Berkshire County you live.
UV and light index: This week will be very cloudy you do not need to worry about the sun.
Wind: 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Hazards: Heavy rain, lightning, gusty winds, isolated flash floods and an isolated tornado.
Notable amounts: No notable amounts.
Far forecast: This week will be cloudy and rainy. Next week may have some tropical weather. The week after next week will be cooler and moist.
Heat Index: Humidity and heat will be on the rise, it may be sticky outside.
Anything to mention: Have a good night.
Tuesday/August/17/2021
Forecast: Tonight will be mostly cloudy with showers, in the low to mid 60s.
Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy with showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Lows in the upper 60s.
Then on Thursday we can expect mostly cloudy conditions with highs in the upper 70s and lows in the mid 60s. Some showers likely.
Air quality forecast: Good air today and tomorrow.
Tropical: We have three areas to watch.
1. Tropical Depression Fred has weakened as it made landfall. It will bring flash flooding and some gusty winds here into are area. By the time it hits us AccuWeather states it will be a “tropical rainstorm”. It should begin to impact us on Thursday as it merges with a cold front. No damaging winds expected just gusty.
2. Tropical Storm Grace is south of Cuba and will impact Mexico as a hurricane.
3. Tropical Storm Henri is southeast of Bermuda. It will eventually turn into a hurricane. It will turn towards the US but will then immediately turn back to sea. Gusty winds may be felt on the easternmost coasts of Massachusetts.
Precipitation: Wednesday through Thursday will have tropical rain bands going in and out of the region over and over. Some bands may contain heavy rain. Expected amounts should be up to 3 inches. After Friday scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible.
UV and light index: This week should have many more clouds than sun just be aware to not spend to much time in direct sunlight if there is any.
Wind: 5 mph, turning gusty Thursday morning.
Hazards: Heavy rain, lightning and very isolated tornados from tropical rain bands.
Notable amounts: Today I measured 0.08 of an inch of rain.
Far forecast: This week will be mostly cloudy with showers likely towards the end of the week. Next week will be warm with dry weather. The week after next week will be mild and moist.
Heat Index: Enjoy the low humidity, because it may rise as the tropical rainstorm nears.
Anything to mention: Have a great, awesome, and amazing night!
Monday/August/16/2021
Forecast: Today is partly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Lows in the upper 50s.
Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Lows in the mid 60s.
Then on Wednesday we can expect mostly cloudy conditions with highs in the upper 70s and lows in the upper 60s. Some showers possible.
Air quality forecast: Good air for a while. We will have good air for today, tomorrow, maybe the rest of the week. So go enjoy Mother Earth.
Tropical: We have three areas to watch.
1. Tropical Storm Fred is making landfall around the Florida panhandle. It is slightly stronger than expected. It may become a strong tropical storm. It does not look like it will impact us, we are far away from the cone.
2. Tropical Depression Grace is south of the Dominican Republic and looks to pass south of Cuba and make landfall in Mexico or possibly the border of Mexico and the USA.
3. Tropical Depression Eight has formed south of Bermuda. It does not look to make any direct impacts to the USA. However Bermuda may be impacted, also there may be rip currents and waves along the USA coastline.
Precipitation: Wednesday through the rest of the week looks to have a 40% chance of showers. Nothing heavy just scattered showers.
UV and light index: This week should have more clouds than sun just be aware to not spend to much time in direct sunlight if there is any.
Wind: 5 mph.
Hazards: No notable hazards.
Notable amounts: No notable amounts of precipitation.
Far forecast: This week will be partly cloudy with a chance of showers from the middle of the week onwards. Next week will be warm with little rain. The week after next week will be mild and dry.
Heat Index: Enjoy the low humidity while possible it will eventually come back so go take a walk outside, have fun.
Anything to mention: Have a superb day!