Fun Fact #1

Nor’easters are not named because they always impact the Northeast. It is actually that their wind comes from the northeast of it‘s low pressure center. So it is just a coincidence that they impact the Northeast.

Tuesday/August/31/2021

Welcome: Good morning, flash flood watches have been issued for Southern Berkshire County from tomorrow afternoon to Thursday afternoon.

Today: Partly sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the upper 70s. Lows in the upper 50s.

Wind: 5 mph, increasing to 10 mph.

Precipitation: Fog in the morning.

Air Quality: Good.

Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy.

Temperature: Highs in the lower 70s. Lows in the upper 50s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: Rain starting in the afternoon, rates of up to 1 inch per hour are possible.

Air Quality: Good.

Day 3: Mostly cloudy.

Temperature: Highs in the upper 60s. Lows in the lower 50s.

Wind: 5 to 10 mph, with gusts to 20 mph.

Precipitation: Rain before the afternoon.

Next Week’s Forecast: Nothing major expected at the moment.

Temperature: At average.

Precipitation: Slightly above average.


Tropical Forecast: We have four areas to watch.

1. Tropical Depression Ida will impact our area tomorrow and Thursday. Heavy rain is likely, Ida will then turn subtropical and leave the region because of an incoming frontal system.

2. Tropical Storm Kate is in the middle of the Atlantic. It poses little threat to anyone other than sailors near it.

3. A low pressure system is producing organized showers and thunderstorms. It is southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a yes or 100% at development.

Hazards Summary: Heavy rain and gusty winds may cause very isolated power outages.

Notable Amounts: I got 1.22 inches of rain from yesterday‘s thunderstorms.

Anything to Mention: Have an amazing day.

Monday/August/30/2021

Welcome: Today will be a report on how Ida will impact us. Good evening.

Timing: Wednesday through Thursday.

Wind: Gusts up to 20 mph.

Rain: Widespread 2 to 4 inches. Very isolated amounts of 6 inches. Flash flooding will be scattered.

Tornado: Unlikely, 1 isolated spin up possible.

Summary: Lots of heavy rain will impact travel, do not go through flooded roads, have a good night.

Sunday/August/29/2021

Welcome: Today will be a report on how Ida will impact us. Thank you to all who donated and supported my work yesterday. Also good evening.

Timing: Ida will start impacting us Wednesday and continue through Thursday.

Wind: Winds will not really be a threat unless the storm restrengthens into a subtropical storm or extratropical storm. Also if it moves north or if the pressure gradient between the high pressure and low pressure strengthens. So just gust up to 25 mph.

Rain: Isolated to scattered flash flooding because of the previous rain from Henri and Fred. Widespread 2 to 4 inches. Isolated amounts of 4 to 6 inches.

Tornado: Very isolated tornados if we are on the east side of the storm.

Summary: This storm will mainly bring lots of rain, heavy rain bands with gusty winds are possible. Power outages will be isolated. Have a good night.

Saturday/August/28/2021

Welcome: Today will be a special report on Hurricane Ida. Hi everyone today is a very special day… It is my birthday, hip hip hooray. If you would ever like to donate or buy yourself a Berkshire Weather t-shirt today would be an amazing day as it would be a birthday gift from you to me. Thank you.

Impacts To Us: Ida poses little threat to us other than some rain and gusty winds on Wednesday and Thursday.

Timing: Ida will start impacting Louisiana tomorrow.

Wind: Winds of over 110 mph are expected in the southeastern parts of Louisiana.

Rain: Extreme flooding is expected with isolated amounts of over 20 inches expected in southeastern Louisiana.

Storm Surge: Life threatening and historic surge expected, with storm surge well over 9 feet in southeastern Louisiana.

Tornado: Isolated to scattered tornados expected on the eastern side of the storm.

Summary: This storm has the potential to reach Category 5 hurricane strength which is the strongest a hurricane can get. Catastrophic damage is likely. Areas may be uninhabitable for months. Please evacuate if you are on the southeastern coast of Louisiana. Emergency responders may not be available until 3 days after the storm. Stay safe and have a good night.

Friday/August/27/2021

Today will be a special report on Hurricane Ida.

At the moment Ida poses no threat to us however this post is meant to inform us here in the Berkshires but especially anyone who has family or friends in Louisiana.

Ida is now a hurricane. In the latest guidance from the Hurricane Center, Ida seems likely to become a Category 4 hurricane slightly before making landfall.

Wind: Winds of over 110 mph are expected in the southern central and eastern parts of Louisiana. This will bring catastrophic damage. Power outages are likely.

Rain: Amounts of 15 to 20 inches in the south eastern parts of Louisiana. Flooding is expected.

Storm Surge: Up to 15 feet of surge possible in the southernmost central parts of Louisiana. Evacuations are likely and water may be up to the roof for some houses.

Tornado: Some tornados possible in eastern Louisiana.

Summary: This storm will be catastrophic for portions of Louisiana. This may effect the American economy. Impacts begin Sunday afternoon. I hope all stay safe if you live or know anyone in Louisiana. Have a good night.

Tropical Storm Irene

We all remember how bad Tropical Storm Irene was. It covered all of the Northeast with clouds at one point. It is hard to believe it has been 10 years since it hit here. The flooding was catastrophic. It was an unforgettable atmospheric phenomenon. This Sunday, August 29th will mark a decade since Irene hit. If you would like to read about Irene and learn some cool facts please go to this link below and under news in this link you will see 10th Anniversary of Tropical Storm Irene, please press that link to take you to the information. Thank you.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=42.452555000000075&lon=-73.25374999999997#.YShPxi33a-o

Thursday/August/26/2021

Welcome: Good morning. First of all I want to give a big shout out to my mom because today is her birthday. Happy birthday mom. You have been by my side for all my life, thank you so much. Today we have heat advisory’s in effect from 11:00 AM to 8:00 PM. 

Today: Sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the low 90s. Lows in the mid 60s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: Fog in the morning and isolated showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Air Quality: Moderate.

Tomorrow: Sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the lower 80s. Lows in the upper 50s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: None.

Air Quality: Moderate.

Day 3: Mostly cloudy.

Temperature: Highs in the lower 70s. Lows in the upper 50s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: Showers in the afternoon.

Next Week’s Forecast: Nothing major expected at the moment.

Temperature: Slightly above average.

Precipitation: Slightly below average.


Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.

1. A broad area of low pressure is becoming organized. It is south of Jamaica. I give it a yes at development or 100%.

2. A trough of low pressure is producing showers and thunderstorms. It is east of Bermuda. I give it a high chance of development.

3. A tropical wave is producing showers and thunderstorms. It is southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a medium chance of development.

Hazards Summary: Few hazards are expected, be aware for patchy fog and isolated lightning.

Notable Amounts: None.

Anything to Mention: Have an amazing day.

Wednesday/August/25/2021

Welcome: Good afternoon, we have heat advisory’s in effect from tomorrow 11:00 AM to tomorrow 8:00 PM. So drink water and take it easy out there.

Today: Sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Lows in the mid 60s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: None.

Air Quality: Moderate.

Tomorrow: Mostly Sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid to upper 60s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: Patchy fog in the morning with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Air Quality: Moderate.

Day 3: Mostly sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the mid 80s. Lows in the mid to upper 50s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Next Week’s Forecast: Nothing major expected at the moment.

Temperature: Slightly above average.

Precipitation: Slightly below average.


Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.

1. A tropical wave will turn into a broad area of low pressure. This wave is currently north of Colombia. I give it a high chance of development.

2. A broad trough of low pressure is producing some showers and thunderstorms. It is currently southeast of Bermuda. I give it a high chance of development.

3. A tropical wave has a small area of showers and thunderstorms. It is southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a small chance of development.

Hazards Summary: Lightning and fog tomorrow.

Notable Amounts: None.

Anything to Mention: Have a great day.

Hurricane Controversy

Hurricanes are rated by the Saffir-Simpson wind scale. Compare a Category 1 with flooding rains and deadly storm surge to a Category 2 hurricane with little rain and little storm surge. The Category 1 in this scenario will likely do more damage because of multiple threats.

The controversy is hurricanes should not just be rated by wind intensity but also by storm surge, rain amounts, tornadic activity, and expected damage costs. This will result in a better understanding and give people more knowledge to prepare for the threat.

People are starting to take action and want a change to the Saffir-Simpson wind scale. As it may be accurate for wind it does not account for the many other hazards tropical systems bring. In the perfect reality they would rate all tropical systems on a scale that puts storm surge, wind, rain amounts, tornadic activity, and expected damage costs into one scale.