Saturday/August/28/2021

Welcome: Today will be a special report on Hurricane Ida. Hi everyone today is a very special day… It is my birthday, hip hip hooray. If you would ever like to donate or buy yourself a Berkshire Weather t-shirt today would be an amazing day as it would be a birthday gift from you to me. Thank you.

Impacts To Us: Ida poses little threat to us other than some rain and gusty winds on Wednesday and Thursday.

Timing: Ida will start impacting Louisiana tomorrow.

Wind: Winds of over 110 mph are expected in the southeastern parts of Louisiana.

Rain: Extreme flooding is expected with isolated amounts of over 20 inches expected in southeastern Louisiana.

Storm Surge: Life threatening and historic surge expected, with storm surge well over 9 feet in southeastern Louisiana.

Tornado: Isolated to scattered tornados expected on the eastern side of the storm.

Summary: This storm has the potential to reach Category 5 hurricane strength which is the strongest a hurricane can get. Catastrophic damage is likely. Areas may be uninhabitable for months. Please evacuate if you are on the southeastern coast of Louisiana. Emergency responders may not be available until 3 days after the storm. Stay safe and have a good night.

Friday/August/27/2021

Today will be a special report on Hurricane Ida.

At the moment Ida poses no threat to us however this post is meant to inform us here in the Berkshires but especially anyone who has family or friends in Louisiana.

Ida is now a hurricane. In the latest guidance from the Hurricane Center, Ida seems likely to become a Category 4 hurricane slightly before making landfall.

Wind: Winds of over 110 mph are expected in the southern central and eastern parts of Louisiana. This will bring catastrophic damage. Power outages are likely.

Rain: Amounts of 15 to 20 inches in the south eastern parts of Louisiana. Flooding is expected.

Storm Surge: Up to 15 feet of surge possible in the southernmost central parts of Louisiana. Evacuations are likely and water may be up to the roof for some houses.

Tornado: Some tornados possible in eastern Louisiana.

Summary: This storm will be catastrophic for portions of Louisiana. This may effect the American economy. Impacts begin Sunday afternoon. I hope all stay safe if you live or know anyone in Louisiana. Have a good night.

Tropical Storm Irene

We all remember how bad Tropical Storm Irene was. It covered all of the Northeast with clouds at one point. It is hard to believe it has been 10 years since it hit here. The flooding was catastrophic. It was an unforgettable atmospheric phenomenon. This Sunday, August 29th will mark a decade since Irene hit. If you would like to read about Irene and learn some cool facts please go to this link below and under news in this link you will see 10th Anniversary of Tropical Storm Irene, please press that link to take you to the information. Thank you.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=42.452555000000075&lon=-73.25374999999997#.YShPxi33a-o

Thursday/August/26/2021

Welcome: Good morning. First of all I want to give a big shout out to my mom because today is her birthday. Happy birthday mom. You have been by my side for all my life, thank you so much. Today we have heat advisory’s in effect from 11:00 AM to 8:00 PM. 

Today: Sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the low 90s. Lows in the mid 60s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: Fog in the morning and isolated showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Air Quality: Moderate.

Tomorrow: Sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the lower 80s. Lows in the upper 50s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: None.

Air Quality: Moderate.

Day 3: Mostly cloudy.

Temperature: Highs in the lower 70s. Lows in the upper 50s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: Showers in the afternoon.

Next Week’s Forecast: Nothing major expected at the moment.

Temperature: Slightly above average.

Precipitation: Slightly below average.


Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.

1. A broad area of low pressure is becoming organized. It is south of Jamaica. I give it a yes at development or 100%.

2. A trough of low pressure is producing showers and thunderstorms. It is east of Bermuda. I give it a high chance of development.

3. A tropical wave is producing showers and thunderstorms. It is southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a medium chance of development.

Hazards Summary: Few hazards are expected, be aware for patchy fog and isolated lightning.

Notable Amounts: None.

Anything to Mention: Have an amazing day.

Wednesday/August/25/2021

Welcome: Good afternoon, we have heat advisory’s in effect from tomorrow 11:00 AM to tomorrow 8:00 PM. So drink water and take it easy out there.

Today: Sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Lows in the mid 60s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: None.

Air Quality: Moderate.

Tomorrow: Mostly Sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid to upper 60s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: Patchy fog in the morning with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Air Quality: Moderate.

Day 3: Mostly sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the mid 80s. Lows in the mid to upper 50s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Next Week’s Forecast: Nothing major expected at the moment.

Temperature: Slightly above average.

Precipitation: Slightly below average.


Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.

1. A tropical wave will turn into a broad area of low pressure. This wave is currently north of Colombia. I give it a high chance of development.

2. A broad trough of low pressure is producing some showers and thunderstorms. It is currently southeast of Bermuda. I give it a high chance of development.

3. A tropical wave has a small area of showers and thunderstorms. It is southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a small chance of development.

Hazards Summary: Lightning and fog tomorrow.

Notable Amounts: None.

Anything to Mention: Have a great day.

Hurricane Controversy

Hurricanes are rated by the Saffir-Simpson wind scale. Compare a Category 1 with flooding rains and deadly storm surge to a Category 2 hurricane with little rain and little storm surge. The Category 1 in this scenario will likely do more damage because of multiple threats.

The controversy is hurricanes should not just be rated by wind intensity but also by storm surge, rain amounts, tornadic activity, and expected damage costs. This will result in a better understanding and give people more knowledge to prepare for the threat.

People are starting to take action and want a change to the Saffir-Simpson wind scale. As it may be accurate for wind it does not account for the many other hazards tropical systems bring. In the perfect reality they would rate all tropical systems on a scale that puts storm surge, wind, rain amounts, tornadic activity, and expected damage costs into one scale.

Tuesday/August/24/2021

Welcome: Good afternoon to you all. 

Today: Mostly sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the mid 80s. Lows in the lower to mid 60s.

Wind: 5 to 10 mph.

Precipitation: Patchy fog in the morning.

Air Quality: Good.

Tomorrow: Sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the upper 60s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: Patchy fog in the morning.

Air Quality: Moderate.

Day 3: Mostly sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the upper 60s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: None.

Next Week’s Forecast: Nothing major expected at the moment.

Temperature: Slightly above average.

Precipitation: Slightly above average.


Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.

1. A broad trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. It is 900 miles northeast of the Leeward Islands. I give it a medium chance of development.

2. A tropical wave will turn into a broad area of low pressure. It is in the eastern Caribbean. I give it a medium chance of development.

3. A tropical wave is producing a small area of showers and thunderstorms. It is south of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a small chance of development.

Hazards Summary: None.

Notable Amounts: The total I got from Henri is 3.26 inches of rainfall.

Anything to Mention: Have an amazing day.

Monday/August/23/2021

Welcome: Good evening folks. Henri surprised many of us. It went farther south and west than expected. You never know with tropical systems if they will impact you. You can only prepare and hope they do not hit. 

Tonight: Mostly cloudy.

Temperature: Lows in the mid 60s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: Rain turning to showers.

Air Quality: Amazing air.

Tomorrow: Mostly Sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the mid 80s. Lows in the 60s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: None.

Air Quality: Amazing air.

Wednesday: Sunny.

Temperature: Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid 60s.

Wind: 5 mph.

Precipitation: None.

Next Week’s Forecast: Nothing major expected at the moment.

Temperature: Slightly above average.

Precipitation: Slightly above average.


Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.

1. A broad area of low pressure has disorganized showers and thunderstorms. It is west of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a medium chance of development.

2. A tropical wave is expected to turn into a broad area of low pressure. It is in the eastern Caribbean. I give it a medium chance of development.

3. A low pressure area is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. It is southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a medium chance of development.

Hazards Summary: Some river flooding.

Notable Amounts: So far from Henri I received 3.25 inches of rain. The final amount of rainfall will be available tomorrow as Henri fully clears the region tonight.

Anything to Mention: Have an amazing night.

Sunday/August/22/2021

Welcome: Good morning, today will be a special report on Tropical Storm Henri.

Alerts: We have flood watches up until 8:00 pm Monday. We have a tropical cyclone statement describing what is coming. I still see it possible that the National Weather Service issues a tropical storm watch or warning for us.

Track: The track has moved east. We must monitor because the more it moves west before landfall the more wind we will see here. Right now it is predicted that we will be on the west side of the storm and get more rain than wind.

Strength: The strength of it when it hits us would likely be tropical storm or tropical depression.

Timing: Sunday and Monday, 3 very heavy rain bands. One this afternoon, one tonight and another tomorrow.

Wind: The wind threat has decreased. The National Hurricane Center puts us in a 39 mph to 57 mph that is possible. If the storm has a westward track and makes landfall in Long Island we will see greater winds compared to it making landfall in Rhode Island. It also depends on what speed it is going at. The faster the storm the more it can hold itself together.

Rain: This is the primary threat. The amount of rain we our predicted to get is so great that a simple wind gust may make tree fall. There is a widespread 2 to 6 inches but a scattered 6 to 10 inches and an isolated 10+ inches possible. Roads will flood, make evacuation routes as a precaution. If you live in an easily flooded area move to high ground.

Storm Surge: No sea storm surge but rivers may overflow.

Tornado: Little to no threat.

Anything Else: Power outages are likely and may even be long term, be prepared. Stay safe and have a good day.

Saturday/August/21/2021

Welcome: Good morning, today will be a special report on Tropical Storm Henri.

Alert Report: We have tropical storm warnings up for Northern Connecticut. In the weather forecast discussion that the National Weather Service has for our area they mentioned that tropical storm warnings may be needed for Berkshire County. Also Berkshire County has a flood watch right now.

Track: Now the track of the storm is important. It may go from slightly east of Berkshire County to slightly west of Berkshire County. If we are on the east side the wind, rain, and tornado threat increases a lot.

Strength: We are not likely to see a hurricane here. You may experience hurricane gust only if you are in the southernmost parts of Berkshire County. The storm will be weakening rapidly so we will likely see either a tropical depression, tropical storm or on the high end a strong tropical storm. Right now most likely will be a tropical storm.

Timing: Sunday and Monday. But the worst will be Sunday night.

Wind: We have a threat of wind. The farther south you live in the Berkshires means the greater the chance of having dangerous winds. The National Hurricane Center has winds of 58 to 73 mph possible. If the storm can hold itself together that will be likely. So expect scattered to widespread power outages. Expect scattered trees falling.

Rain: The threat has decreased here slightly however there will be enough rain to cause power outages and trees fall. Plan evacuation routes just in case. The amounts will be a widespread 2 to 6 inches. I am sure a few spots will pick up over 6 inches. Rain rates will be 1 to 2 inches per hour, combined with wind that is a lot of damage.

Storm Surge: Some large rivers will likely over flow their banks.

Tornado: With all tropical systems if you are on their east side some spin ups may occur. They look to be isolated at this time.

Anything Else: Stay safe, prepare and have a good day.