Wednesday/September/15/2021

Welcome: Good morning. We have a severe thunderstorm risk today. We will also have to watch two areas of the tropics. Let’s get into it…

Timing: Afternoon through early part of the night.

Amount Of Thunderstorms: Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms.

Tornados: Isolated tornados. Higher chance as you go north.

Hail: Isolated severe hail of 1 inch in diameter or larger.

Wind: Scattered severe wind gusts of 58 mph or greater.

Flooding: Scattered flash flooding.

Tropical Info: We will be watching a broad area of low pressure in the Bahamas that will travel very close the the East Coast and may develop. We will also watch an area of low pressure near the Cabo Verde Islands that could eventually near the US.

Anything Else: Have an amazing day and stay safe. This event has the potential to have an outbreak of severe weather, so keep your senses sharp.

Tuesday/September/14/2021

Welcome: Good morning. The severe potential is starting to become a reality for tomorrow. If all the key factors line up we have a possibility for a severe weather outbreak or lots of storms. So let’s get into this…

Today: Partly sunny.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the low to mid 70s. Lows in the low to mid 60s.

WIND: 5 mph.

PRECIPITATION: Isolated morning fog.

AIR QUALITY: Good, with a dash of moderate air here or there.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: None.

Tomorrow: Partly sunny.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the lower 80s. Lows in the upper 50s.

WIND: 10 mph.

PRECIPITATION: Numerous thunderstorms, with isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms.

AIR QUALITY: Good.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: An isolated tornado or two, scattered severe wind gusts, isolated severe hail, cloud-to-ground lightning, and isolated to scattered flash flooding.

Day 3: Mostly cloudy.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the mid 70s. Lows in the upper 50s.

WIND: 5 mph.

PRECIPITATION: Scattered afternoon showers.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: None.

6 To 10 Day Forecast: Read Below.

TEMPERATURE: Far above average.

PRECIPITATION: Slightly below average.

Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.

1. Tropical Storm Nicholas will bring flooding rains to Louisiana, with widespread amounts over 4 inches. A storm surge threat will be on the Texas coast. With tropical storm force winds for the Texas coast as well.

2. A tropical wave is producing disorganized thunderstorms. It is southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a high chance of development.

3. An area of low pressure should form due to the interaction between an upper level trough and tropical wave. It will move north of the Bahamas. I give it a medium chance of development.

Notable Amounts: None.

Anything to Mention: Have an amazing day.

Monday/September/13/2021

Welcome: Good morning. Last night the MCS or Mesoscale Convective System weakened faster than some meteorologists and myself thought it would. I know that some places still did get heavy rain in the Berkshires. Remember just because you may not get hit by storms regularly, you can still get hit by storms eventually. Now into the forecast we go.

Today: Turning sunny.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the low to mid 70s. Lows in the low to mid 50s.

WIND: 5 to 10 mph.

PRECIPITATION: A very isolated shower is possible.

AIR QUALITY: Good.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: None.

Tomorrow: Partly sunny.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the mid 70s. Lows in the lower 60s.

WIND: 5 mph, with gusts to 10 mph.

PRECIPITATION: None.

AIR QUALITY: Good.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: None.

Day 3: Partly cloudy.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the lower 80s. Lows in the upper 50s.

WIND: 5 mph.

PRECIPITATION: Widespread thunderstorms, scattered severe thunderstorms in the afternoon.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: Lightning, heavy rain, and severe wind gusts.

6 To 10 Day Forecast: Read Below.

TEMPERATURE: Far above average.

PRECIPITATION: Below average.

Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.

1. Tropical Storm Nicholas formed near Texas and Mexico. It will bring rains of up to 15 inches, and winds of tropical storm force. It will then move inland through Texas into Louisiana.

2. A tropical wave will move off of Africa today. It will move west, and be south of the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a high chance of development.

3. An area of low pressure should for near the Bahamas. It will move north. I give it a medium chance of development.

Notable Amounts: I got 0.21 of an inch of rain from yesterday’s storms.

Anything to Mention: Have an amazing day.

Sunday/September/12/2021

Welcome: Good morning. We have a severe thunderstorm risk today, a possible area of tropical development that may affect us, and another risk of severe weather on Wednesday. But it is to far out to get into Wednesday just yet.

Timing: Today in the afternoon, and early evening.

Amount Of Thunderstorms: Isolated to scattered severe and non-severe thunderstorms today.

Tornados: An isolated tornado may be possible in the southwestern most parts of Berkshire County.

Hail: Small hail will be scattered. Severe hail of 1 inch in diameter or greater will be isolated.

Wind: Isolated to scattered severe wind gusts of 58 mph or greater. Gusty winds of under severe criteria may also be possible in any thunderstorm.

Flooding: Isolated flash flooding possible.

Tropical Info: An area of of low pressure will form near the Bahamas. It will then move northwest. The key questions is a cold front will be moving in and how far south this cold front will go before moving away. If it does not bring the area of low pressure with it out to sea, we may have to watch the area to see if it develops into a tropical system. I give it a medium chance to develop.

Anything Else: Have an amazing day.

Saturday/September/11/2021

Welcome: Good evening, we have a severe thunderstorm risk for tomorrow.

Timing: Tomorrow afternoon.

Amount Of Thunderstorms: Numerous basic thunderstorms, with lots of cloud to ground lightning. Isolated to widely scattered severe thunderstorms possible.

Tornados: 1 or 2 very weak tornados possible.

Hail: Small hail will be scattered. Severe hail of 1 inch in diameter or greater will be isolated.

Wind: Isolated severe wind gusts of 58 mph or greater.

Flooding: Isolated flash flooding possible.

Anything Else: This severe event will be more isolated than numerous, it will be likely to see thunderstorms but less likely to see severe thunderstorms tomorrow. Be careful. Have a good night.

Friday/September/10/2021

Welcome: Good morning. Summer is moving away as fall moves in. Also today is the statistical peak of Hurricane Season. So hooray! We almost are done with hurricanes and can move on to snow storms. Enough of my rambling let’s get to the forecast… 

Today: Partly to mostly sunny.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the upper 60s. Lows in the upper 40s maybe even some mid 40s in the northernmost and highest terrain in the Berkshires.

WIND: 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

PRECIPITATION: None.

AIR QUALITY: Good.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: None.

Tomorrow: Sunny.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the low to mid 70s. Lows in the upper 50s.

WIND: 5 to 10 mph.

PRECIPITATION: None.

AIR QUALITY: Good.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: None.

Day 3: Mostly sunny.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the low 80s. Lows in the upper 50s.

WIND: 10 to 15 mph.

PRECIPITATION: None.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: None.

6 To 10 Day Forecast: Read Below.

TEMPERATURE: Far above average.

PRECIPITATION: Above average.

Tropical Forecast: We have three areas to watch.

1. Hurricane Larry will be nearing southeastern Newfoundland. Larry will bring heavy rain, storm surge, and hurricane force winds to parts of Newfoundland. Then Larry will become subtropical or post-tropical. Dangerous rip currents and high waves will be along the Northeast coasts’ today.

2. The northern most part of a tropical wave is producing some showers and thunderstorms. It is currently over Honduras. I give it a medium chance of development.

3. A strong tropical wave is expected to move off of Africa’s west coast. It will move towards the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a high chance of development.

Notable Amounts: None.

Anything to Mention: Have an amazing day.

Thursday/September/9/2021

Welcome: Good morning. This week will begin to feel like autumn as the temperatures will mainly be in the low 70s. The storms were not as bad as I expected but I could still hear the wind last night. 

Today: Cloudy.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the lower 70s. Lows in the mid 50s.

WIND: 5 mph.

PRECIPITATION: Showers, becoming more isolated as the day goes on.

AIR QUALITY: Good, with a few spots having moderate air.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: None.

Tomorrow: Partly sunny.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the upper 60s. Lows in the upper 40s.

WIND: 10 to 15 mph.

PRECIPITATION: None.

AIR QUALITY: Good.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: None.

Day 3: Sunny.

TEMPERATURE: Highs in the low 70s. Lows in the mid 50s.

WIND: 5 to 10 mph.

PRECIPITATION: None.

HAZARDS SUMMARY: None.

6 To 10 Day Forecast: Read Below.

TEMPERATURE: Above average.

PRECIPITATION: Slightly above average.

Tropical Forecast: We have four areas to watch.

1. Hurricane Larry will be nearing Bermuda in the coming hours. Larry will bring rough surf and a rip current risk to most of the eastern seaboard of the US. Larry will then go into parts of Canada and become subtropical.

2. Tropical Depression Mindy formed late yesterday as Tropical Storm Mindy. This storm made landfall in the Florida Panhandle quickly after forming. Mindy has weakened into a Tropical Depression and will likely remain weak as if moves out of Florida and to sea.

3. There is a tropical wave that is expected to form. This will be over the Bay of Campeche. I give it a small chance of development.

4. A tropical wave is expected to move off of Africa’s west coast. It will then move near the Cabo Verde Islands. I give it a medium chance of development.

Notable Amounts: I got 0.88 of an inch of rain from yesterday’s storms.

Anything to Mention: Have an amazing day.

Wednesday/September/8/2021/8:00 PM

Welcome: Good evening, we have a severe thunderstorm watch until midnight tonight. Be on the look out for severe storms. Be careful.

Timing: Until midnight.

Amount Of Storms: Isolated to scattered line segments.

Tornados: Very isolated tornados with a small chance for tornados of EF2 strength or greater.

Hail: Small hail risk is high. Severe hail of 1 inch or greater having a small risk threat.

Wind: Medium risk for scattered wind gusts of over 58 mph. Small risk for isolated wind gusts up to 75 mph.

Flooding: Heavy rain may lead to scattered flash flooding. Rain amounts of a half an inch to 2 inches possible.

Anything Else: Some damage possible to trees, roofs, and power lines. Stay safe. Have a good night.